We knew it was true in theory but it is always nice to see real data showing how IRV is not up to standard.
Keith Edmonds
@Keith Edmonds
https://electowiki.org/wiki/User:Dr._Edmonds
https://www.linkedin.com/in/drkeithedmonds/
Best posts made by Keith Edmonds
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Empirical Evidence of Center Squeeze in IRV
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Transparency of https://www.votingtheory.org/
Is there a place which lists the moderators, admins and such for https://www.votingtheory.org/? It would be good to have transparency about the people who helped to make this and their relevant affiliations.
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RE: A Municipality in Latvia Provides Equal Votes
@jack-waugh This appears to be the Venetian system
https://www.rangevoting.org/VenHist.htmlI would make the same suggestion. Add this example to the score voting page.
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Score_votingA common tactic of the rank voting supporters is to say that cardinal system are not used anywhere.
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RE: Hello from Micah
@micahscopes said in Hello from Micah:
I'm especially excited about "cardinal voting systems".
I have found that everybody ends up there eventually
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RE: STAR vs. Score
@Jack-Waugh What STAR does is it renormalizes everybodies vote weight to give them the same impact. This is an attempt to reduce the amount of strategy needed. I do not think that it would outperform somebody who used optimal strategy with score. The point is that most people do not or cannot use optimal strategy. STAR then puts people bad at strategy on a closer level to those who are good at strategy. So I do not think you are wrong in what you say. If all people where fully informed, rational and strategic then score would likely be better. However, people are not any of those things in general. I do not think your like of argument will hold up under this consideration.
An example of where score produces a better outcome than score is
40% = A:5 B:0 C:0
31% = A:0 B:5 C:1
29% = A:0 B:1 C:5Score give A and STAR gives B. This is an engineered and somewhat extreme example to illustrate the issue. Is 5 infinitely more than 0 or just 5. Is 5 weighted as 4 more than 1 or 5 times. There is no universal metric and different people will choose different metrics. STAR normalizes it all away and compares the two most favoured with full weight to each voter.
STAR is a simplified version of Baldwin's Method. When you think about it that way you see the intent.
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RE: Opportunity to either significantly improve this forum, or just let it go peacefully into the night
I am pretty sure it is already independent of EqualVote so it makes no sense to say they control it. I was on the board to help it get set up and pushed for this. Unless things have changed the forum is self led democratically with bylaws and all the proper things in place. I think you are confusing "being led by EqualVote" with "the board sharing several people with EqualVote". The community of people who actually do stuff is quite small. Sara set up the up a lot of the process for this to happen and is the best equipped person in the space to do it.
Do you have an issue with people from EqualVote spending their time on this? Are you on the board? Perhaps you could propose a regulation that no more than 50% of the EqualVote board is on the board of another organization. I am not sure who is on the board now so I do not know if that is currently violated but if there is concern that the forum's board lacks impartiality then something like that would make sense.
You say "considering that we are not even listed on their web site" but I went to the website and found it under "resources" in like 30 seconds.
Another complaint is that a board member is non-responsive. There is likely a requirement for them to participate in board-meetings to keep their status. If you think their should be a requirement for board member to respond on the forum in a timely manner that seems reasonable. Join the board and make a motion for something like that.
If you do not want the money for the forum to come from EqualVote I am sure nobody would object to you paying the bills.
It seems that you want to make changes. Great. Propose them to the board. Or better yet, join the board. If you want to run the forum then run for the president (or whatever the title is) of the board. Sara set all this up so there is a very high standard for the procedure to do this. Just like there is for making the changes to the policy I listed above.
You suggest not having meetings. That never works. Discussions on the details are great to have outside of the meetings but to finalize and do stuff democratically requires some formality.
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RE: Canada reform options
@Marylander Modern cardinal multiwinner methods. I do not think he has ever looked into even the older ones like RRV. Otherwise why does he never mention them?
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RE: STAR vs. Score
@Jack-Waugh The word strategy appears several times on that page. I do not now exactly how he coded the different strategies but I figure that could help you on your way to doing research.
I am unaware of any property called "the balance condition" and electowiki does not have such a page. Do you intend to refer to The Test of Balance given here. If so I think what you are saying is that in Nash equilibrium two systems which pass this criteria should behave such that the strategy of different factions cancel each other out and they both produce the same winner. The flaw in that logic is the assumption of an underlying symmetry in the size of groups and how that interacts with compromise/utilitarian or majoritarian winners. As I said above, STAR is majoritarian and Score is Utilitarian. In the absence of strategy these systems will give different winners. So even if all the strategy cancelled you would not expect the same winners.
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RE: Hello from Ed Hitchcock, New Zealander in France
@frenzed Welcome. This is a topic I have thought about before. I do not like voting for parties as a rule so I have not bothered to put time into it. I do however I have an idea how to fix this properly. I put a longer explanation on the other post.
Latest posts made by Keith Edmonds
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Empirical Evidence of Center Squeeze in IRV
We knew it was true in theory but it is always nice to see real data showing how IRV is not up to standard.
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RE: Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting
@sarawolk said in Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting:
Equal Vote as an org doesn't endorse any systems that don't eliminate vote-splitting and/or that waste ballot data, so MMP and STV don't pass our minimum bar but 'terrible' is a strong word. There are clearly pros and cons.
Hi Sara,
Point of clarification. My quote labels Party List and Single Member Plurality as terrible not MMP. I don't think that is too strong of a work for them (speak as me not as a director of equal vote. MMP is mediocre.
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RE: Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting
@spelunker said in Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting:
I would be interested, do you have a forum pointer?
There have been lots of discussions about this stuff. There was a bit of a revival when MES was invented a few years back. I am sure some of them were had here. Ill Leave it to @Andy-Dienes to go into the details of explaining it. If you would like to get it from the source here are a few papers to get you started.
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.01795.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.11747.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1801.01527.pdf@spelunker said in Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting:
I see, I don't think we will be able to agree, if that is your opinion.
We could get to agree if I had enough time to talk about the game theoretic effects of explicitly partisan system and how they undermine democracy. I do not have time for that so I will just leave you with a thought experiment. Would you rather have your favourite system where your enemy gets to choose who is on the ballot or your least favourite system where anybody can appear on the ballot? What effect does the choice of system have on who is on the ballot?
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RE: Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting
@spelunker I think it is fine for Equal Vote to have a high bar for what they endorse and do not see how you could view this as "dangerous".
Most of the axioms have to do with the definition of PR. The ones I care about have to do with how you interpret the different scores on a ballot. This gives the distinction between MES and SSS. @Andy-Dienes went super far down the rabbit hole on this if you want to ask him a follow up.
One axiom relevant to this conversation is if a vote for a person who is a member of a party can be assumed to be endorsement of that party. MMP is built off the axiom that they are the same. This is why I think MMP is a bad system. I do not think partisan voting is good at all and especially not with a choose one ballot. I view Party List as the worst possible system not Single Member Plurality.
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RE: My proposal for this forum
@rob I have two major points here.
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I thought this forum was set up with a board who would make policy decisions such as those you have proposed. @SaraWolk does such a board not exist? If you want to take over the technical responsibilities of the forum, have the forum adopt an official stance on electoral methods or disband the board I would think that the proper place to bring it up would be to the board. I think the method you have taken seems undemocratic and the appearance is important. At a bear minimum you could have called for a vote on this from the people on the forum. At least then it would look more like a populist upraising to overthrow the government instead of a coup. I know you are not going for this but again it is about appearance to people like me who are not in the weeds on the running of this forum. And I am a lot further down in the weeds than some her.
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I would be strongly opposed to limiting any discussion on any topic that is at least somewhat related to electoral reform. It is not really clear to me that IRV is better than plurality in the objective sense. Its like choosing between burning and freezing to death to me. Both seem bad but in opposing and hard to compare ways so why choose? Would this opinion of mine being honestly held be banned on this forum? I recently had a conversation with David Deutsch where he expressed a similar but different sentiment. He wrote a whole chapter about it in one of his books. Are you proposing that if a famous professor started debating with us here we should ban his point of view?
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RE: Tweet by Star Voting regarding Multi Winner Voting
@spelunker I don't remember saying that but I does seem like something I would say. Both of the criticism of the systems are accurate. If the simplification of the criticism does not sit right with you because it is too simplistic then why not ask for details if you do not have them? The nature of public communication is that of condensing concepts.
@Toby-Pereira is right that I prefer Sequentially Spent Score to Allocated Score but I do like it. I also like MES and Single distributed vote. There are lots of good systems out there and there are trade-offs between them. In the end it comes down to your position on a few axioms. However, MMP and STV are not good systems and I do not see how they could be on anybody's list of top tier systems independent of axiom choice.
Also, a side note, you are inserting a pretty bold assumption about the motivation for the invention of these systems. None of these system were invented by people who were involved with STAR voting at the time of their invention as far as I know. You are thinking there is causation from STAR voting to the multiwinner system when you should be looking for a common cause. The common cause is that cardinal systems contain the maximal amount of ballot data. The choice of 5 is somewhat arbitrary but seems a reasonable choice. I do not think anybody involved in STAR voting or other Cardinal systems has a super strong opinion on the granularity.
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RE: Opportunity to either significantly improve this forum, or just let it go peacefully into the night
I am pretty sure it is already independent of EqualVote so it makes no sense to say they control it. I was on the board to help it get set up and pushed for this. Unless things have changed the forum is self led democratically with bylaws and all the proper things in place. I think you are confusing "being led by EqualVote" with "the board sharing several people with EqualVote". The community of people who actually do stuff is quite small. Sara set up the up a lot of the process for this to happen and is the best equipped person in the space to do it.
Do you have an issue with people from EqualVote spending their time on this? Are you on the board? Perhaps you could propose a regulation that no more than 50% of the EqualVote board is on the board of another organization. I am not sure who is on the board now so I do not know if that is currently violated but if there is concern that the forum's board lacks impartiality then something like that would make sense.
You say "considering that we are not even listed on their web site" but I went to the website and found it under "resources" in like 30 seconds.
Another complaint is that a board member is non-responsive. There is likely a requirement for them to participate in board-meetings to keep their status. If you think their should be a requirement for board member to respond on the forum in a timely manner that seems reasonable. Join the board and make a motion for something like that.
If you do not want the money for the forum to come from EqualVote I am sure nobody would object to you paying the bills.
It seems that you want to make changes. Great. Propose them to the board. Or better yet, join the board. If you want to run the forum then run for the president (or whatever the title is) of the board. Sara set all this up so there is a very high standard for the procedure to do this. Just like there is for making the changes to the policy I listed above.
You suggest not having meetings. That never works. Discussions on the details are great to have outside of the meetings but to finalize and do stuff democratically requires some formality.
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RE: Opportunity to either significantly improve this forum, or just let it go peacefully into the night
I agree with @Sass and @SaraWolk on this. So I will not reiterate their comments.
I think this forum is needed. When the CES shut down their forum I was one of the people who pushed for this to be created. I also pushed for it to not be run by Equal Vote. I wanted it to be more like electowiki.org. Independent of any of the think tanks or lobby groups. I want EqualVote to push people to discuss on the forum but I do not want it to be though of as EqualVote's forum. I think it is moving in that direction and that makes me happy.
I think we just need it to grow. I am happy to let Rob take over the leadership of the forum. However, I do have one condition. He has to stop bashing EqualVote. Again I would point to EqualVotes relationship with electowiki.org. The Rob (@robla) who runs that has a great relationship with EqualVote and there is a large overlap between the contributors to both organizations. Having a Rob (@rob ) running this would be great. EqualVote is a coalition of organizations and people with a shared goal. A forum is a needed part of this coalition. I do not like Reddit so I don't post there almost ever. I would rather people come to this forum.
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Discussion panel on polarization
Does anybody want to go here today to tell them that partisan voting and ranking is not going to lower polarization?
https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_1CuGeJwbQN2ozR3EnzM2eg
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RE: Threshold MES
@andy-dienes Awesome. Pandas definitely can make things concise if done right. There are lots of functions.