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    Toby Pereira

    @Toby Pereira

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    Best posts made by Toby Pereira

    • RE: Allocated score (STAR-PR) centrist clones concern

      @sarawolk said in Allocated score (STAR-PR) centrist clones concern:

      In any case, I think that Clones are a much bigger problem in hypothetical math scenarios than they ever will be in real life campaigns, and if a faction can really pull off running 2 or 3 clones that all break through and win over voters then that's frankly impressive. The reality is that if voter behavior doesn't do them in, limitations in campaign funding and volunteer power likely will.

      I'm not sure I really see this as a problem of clones specifically. If parties exist, then it's fairly normal for parties to field several candidates in a multi-winner election.

      But I do think the particular voting behaviour in the example election is a bit "edge case", although it's still best to avoid vulnerability to it.

      posted in Proportional Representation
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Is there any difference between ways of counting Borda?

      Well, it partly depends on what you do with equal ranks or incomplete ballots. If an unranked candidate is scored as 0 then a 4-3-2-1 system would be different from 3-2-1-0. But if it's done in a more sensible way, they would be equivalent.

      posted in Single-winner
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Relative Importance of Reforms

      I suppose he's used that assumption because a hereditary monarch is essentially a leader arbitrarily picked, like in random winner (as opposed to random ballot). But this is obviously very simplistic. When you have an all-powerful monarch versus some other system, the entire political and cultural landscape is likely to be very different and that isn't modelled by this.

      posted in Political Theory
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: "The False Promise of ChatGPT" Chomsky, Roberts, Watumull

      Yeah, I mean ChatGPT has some big holes in its ability (as I've complained about), but it's also a bit scary what it's capable of sometimes. I don't think anything we can do is off limits in principle to a ChatGPT type thing.

      posted in Watercooler
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Single Distributed Vote

      I've been looking at this and I don't think it is the best. One (minor) problem is that when you're summing the scores, for voters that haven't had any candidates elected and also gave a score of 0 to the candidate in question, you get 0/0. Obviously you just need to count it as 0 to get it to work, but it can make one suspicious that there are problems lurking beneath.

      But the main problem is that it fails scale invariance. Well it passes in a multiplicative way as it is defined on the wiki, but not if you add to the scores.

      For example, if everyone scores 1 to 10 instead of 0 to 9 (so just adds 1 to every score), you can get a different result. KP + SPAV (also known as Sequential Proportional Score Voting or SPSV) passes this. I know it might seem unsatisfactory to "split" the voter with KP, but in terms of passing criteria, it seems to do the job.

      posted in Proportional Representation
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Ability to add polls to threads

      @sarawolk I've seen the initial video, but not the 3-hour follow-up! I thought in the first video, the criticism of score was weird.

      This method heavily depends on turnout for more accurate scores. What if turnout is extremely low and only extremists turn up to the polls?

      Every method depends on turnout for more accurate results. No reason has been given for why score should suffer any more than any other method in this regard.

      posted in Request for Features
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Addressing Spam Posts

      @cfrank I've seen a few as well which I've deleted, but they're not overwhelming the board or anything, so I wouldn't want to make anything worse for any new users we might get, which isn't that many anyway! So I'd probably say leave it for now, but keep an eye on the situation.

      posted in Forum Policy and Resources
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Allocated score (STAR-PR) centrist clones concern

      @wolftune I'm not sure this is just an Allocated Score thing. I think that sequential methods that start by electing the candidate with the highest total score and go from there are always likely to have this sort of thing happen. Non-sequential methods may avoid it more easily, but that's obviously more expensive computationally. The other option is to not go by total score.

      posted in Proportional Representation
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Who should win with this simple set of cardinal ballots?

      While people aren't likely to cast votes that are perfectly related to utility, I still see scores as more akin to utility than to something like money, where the increase in utility drops off the higher up the scale you go.

      So what I'm saying is that I see a 5 and a 0 as in the same ballpark as a 3 and a 2, rather than the 3 and 2 being preferable for equity reasons.

      How good score voting is generally is a separate debate obviously, but where it gives the same tie as a pairwise method, I don't see any reason in principle to prefer one result over another. But as a tie-break, it's probably fine to choose the result you might consider less divisive.

      An interesting follow-up question would be whether you would consider divisiveness over score where there isn't an exact score tie (but is a pairwise tie still) or whether it's only useful as a tie-breaker. You could, for example, reduce C's score of 3 to 2. That way, the pairwise result is still a tie but on average scores, A and B are now marginally ahead of C despite being more divisive. Is there still an argument to elect C?

      posted in Voting Methods
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: What are the strongest arguments against Approval Voting?

      As said, voters can often face a dilemma of whether to approve someone or not. What counts as approval etc. If I approve my second favourite candidate, what if it turns out my favourite could have won after all?

      Also under ranked voting, ranks have less of an obvious meaning so a voter doesn't have to feel they are explicitly endorsing a candidate when they rank them over someone else. Say my preference order is A>B>C and B and C are the frontrunners, but I hate both B and C while preferring B to C. I might happily rank A>B>C. But to explicitly approve B might be a step too far, even though it's the strategically optimal vote for me.

      Also, it really invites people to say that it violates one person, one vote, and you have to explain why it doesn't.

      posted in Voting Method Discussion
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      Toby Pereira

    Latest posts made by Toby Pereira

    • RE: Kennedy Jr’s Candidacy as a Route to Voting Reform

      @A Former User said in Kennedy Jr’s Candidacy as a Route to Voting Reform:

      This thread made me lose interest in this forum. RFK Jr. is a monster.

      Just one person posting something you disagree with made you lose interest in the whole forum?

      posted in Advocacy
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: RIP Jameson Quinn

      There is an online obituary if you want to read it here.

      posted in Current Events
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Fixing Participation Failure in “Approval vs B2R”

      @cfrank While I'm not an expert in how to make methods pass particular criteria, participation seems to be a very hard one to get. Most of the methods that pass it seem to be simple adding up ones (e.g. FPTP, Borda, approval, score), although Descending Solid Coalitions and Descending Acquiescing Coalitions are slightly weird methods that do pass it apparently.

      posted in Single-winner
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Fixing Participation Failure in “Approval vs B2R”

      @cfrank said in Fixing Participation Failure in “Approval vs B2R”:

      (6) Run a secondary, independent head-to-head election between the B2R winner and their adversary, with the following caveats:
      --> Voters are not tied down in any way to their original preference between the B2R winner and the adversary, and can freely vote for either in the independent head-to-head. Also, voters who did not participate in the first round are fully allowed to participate in the final round. By default, voters' original ballots will be used to determine the preference, but voters may opt in to swap their rating either 0 or 1 times, whichever amount is necessary to indicate an advantage that they wish to disclose.
      --> However, based on these swaps, we can count the net number of swaps that are advantageous to the adversary over the B2R winner compared with the original ballots. If this number is positive, the election proceeds as you would expect, with ties broken by the sort order. However, if the number is not positive, if the original head-to-head was in favor of the B2R survivor, and if a material difference would be incurred, then the adversary will be conferred an automatic +1 head-to-head advantage, and will also automatically win ties.

      I find this part a bit hard to understand.

      Also, if it's an independent head-to-head, do you mean a separate trip to the polling station, or just a separate part of the ballot paper? If it's a separate trip, then it would be impossible to manage the swaps and each voter's default position without losing anonymity.

      posted in Single-winner
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: New users cannot comment on posts?

      @kodos I've changed it so new users have to register with an e-mail address. I don't think that's too onerous, and it should make the problem go away.

      posted in Meta Discussion
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: New users cannot comment on posts?

      @kodos I'll have a look to see if I can find a way to change that or if it's "hardwired" in.

      posted in Meta Discussion
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: Direct Independent Condorcet Validation

      If you're pitting the winners of two methods against each other, what do you do if it's the same candidate? Are they just the winner, or does there need to be a final head-to-head between two candidates?

      posted in Single-winner
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: New users cannot comment on posts?

      @kodos I also have admin powers but wasn't aware this was a thing either. But I've just looked at the user list in the admin section and it seems that you have no e-mail address by your name. That could be the problem. It might be worth trying to add an e-mail address to your account. I think you'll then need to verify it by clicking on a link that gets e-mailed to you or something.

      posted in Meta Discussion
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: General stuff about approval/cardinal PR

      @toby-pereira said in General stuff about approval/cardinal PR:

      This project hasn't purely been altruistic - it's been helpful to me by laying everything out for reworking my COWPEA paper!

      And the new version can be seen here (as I mentioned in the separate COWPEA thread anyway).

      posted in Proportional Representation
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      Toby Pereira
    • RE: COWPEA and COWPEA Lottery paper on arXiv

      The paper has been updated and some errors corrected.

      posted in Proportional Representation
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      Toby Pereira